Pre-tourney Rankings
North Carolina
Atlantic Coast
2010-11
Overall
Predictive Rating+16.0#13
Expected Predictive Rating+17.3#9
Pace79.0#19
Improvement+1.9#90

Offense
Total Offense+7.9#14
Improvement+1.4#97

Defense
Total Defense+8.1#11
Improvement+0.5#145
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.9% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 13.6% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 45.2% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 98.6% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 100.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 100.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 100.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed 2.6 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round100.0% n/a n/a
Second Round87.7% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen58.5% n/a n/a
Elite Eight30.3% n/a n/a
Final Four14.1% n/a n/a
Championship Game6.4% n/a n/a
National Champion2.7% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 2 seed  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 12, 2010 161   Lipscomb W 80-66 95%     1 - 0 +11.0 -1.7 -0.8
  Nov 18, 2010 140   Hofstra W 107-63 90%     2 - 0 +45.9 +2.0 +1.7
  Nov 19, 2010 57   Minnesota L 67-72 75%     2 - 1 +3.9 +3.9 +4.8
  Nov 21, 2010 31   Vanderbilt L 65-72 65%     2 - 2 +5.1 +5.4 +6.4
  Nov 23, 2010 144   UNC Asheville W 80-69 94%     3 - 2 +9.3 -0.9 -0.4
  Nov 28, 2010 80   College of Charleston W 74-69 89%     4 - 2 +7.9 +1.2 +1.9
  Nov 30, 2010 20   @ Illinois L 67-79 48%     4 - 3 +4.6 +7.8 +8.2
  Dec 04, 2010 7   Kentucky W 75-73 59%     5 - 3 +15.6 +6.5 +7.2
  Dec 08, 2010 184   @ Evansville W 76-49 90%     6 - 3 +29.1 +1.0 +2.2
  Dec 11, 2010 91   Long Beach St. W 96-91 90%     7 - 3 +6.6 +1.3 +0.5
  Dec 18, 2010 5   Texas L 76-78 41%     7 - 4 +16.4 +9.2 +9.1
  Dec 21, 2010 216   William & Mary W 85-60 97%     8 - 4 +18.8 -3.0 -2.2
  Dec 28, 2010 70   Rutgers W 78-55 79%     9 - 4 +30.4 +3.6 +4.8
  Jan 02, 2011 279   St. Francis (PA) W 103-54 98%     10 - 4 +38.5 -4.4 -4.1
  Jan 08, 2011 97   @ Virginia W 62-56 78%     11 - 4 1 - 0 +13.8 +3.7 +4.3
  Jan 13, 2011 33   Virginia Tech W 64-61 76%     12 - 4 2 - 0 +11.7 +3.9 +5.0
  Jan 16, 2011 95   @ Georgia Tech L 58-78 78%     12 - 5 2 - 1 -12.1 +3.2 +3.9
  Jan 18, 2011 29   Clemson W 75-65 75%     13 - 5 3 - 1 +19.1 +4.5 +5.0
  Jan 26, 2011 59   @ Miami (FL) W 74-71 65%     14 - 5 4 - 1 +15.0 +6.4 +5.8
  Jan 29, 2011 89   North Carolina St. W 84-64 90%     15 - 5 5 - 1 +21.8 +0.9 +1.8
  Feb 01, 2011 62   @ Boston College W 106-74 67%     16 - 5 6 - 1 +43.5 +6.5 +6.3
  Feb 06, 2011 40   Florida St. W 89-69 78%     17 - 5 7 - 1 +27.8 +4.7 +4.0
  Feb 09, 2011 2   @ Duke L 73-79 22%     17 - 6 7 - 2 +18.0 +11.7 +12.1
  Feb 12, 2011 29   @ Clemson W 64-62 52%     18 - 6 8 - 2 +17.5 +7.4 +8.2
  Feb 15, 2011 261   Wake Forest W 78-64 98%     19 - 6 9 - 2 +4.8 -4.5 -4.1
  Feb 19, 2011 62   Boston College W 48-46 84%     20 - 6 10 - 2 +7.2 +1.6 +3.7
  Feb 23, 2011 89   @ North Carolina St. W 75-63 77%     21 - 6 11 - 2 +20.2 +4.1 +4.6
  Feb 27, 2011 38   Maryland W 87-76 78%     22 - 6 12 - 2 +18.9 +4.0 +4.3
  Mar 02, 2011 40   @ Florida St. W 72-70 57%     23 - 6 13 - 2 +16.2 +7.3 +7.0
  Mar 05, 2011 2   Duke W 81-67 44%     24 - 6 14 - 2 +31.6 +9.0 +9.2
  Mar 11, 2011 59   Miami (FL) W 61-59 76%     25 - 6 +10.8 +4.0 +4.9
  Mar 12, 2011 29   Clemson W 92-87 OT 64%     26 - 6 +17.3 +6.7 +5.8
  Mar 13, 2011 2   Duke L 58-75 32%     26 - 7 +3.8 +9.6 +10.4
Projected Record 26.0 - 7.0 14.0 - 2.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic Coast Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 100.0 100.0 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
Total 100.0 Total



Atlantic Coast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2 100.0% 100.0    100.0
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8
Total 100.0% 100.0 100.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 2.6 13.6 31.6 33.4 20.1 1.3 0.0 100.0%
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8
7-9
6-10
5-11
4-12
3-13
2-14
1-15
0-16
Total 100% 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 2.6 13.6 31.6 33.4 20.1 1.3 0.0 100.0%